This experience did more than anything to convince me that the purely technical approach to the market was sound. It meant that if I studied price action and volume, discarding all other factors, I could get positive results. I now began to try to work from this point of view. I concentrated on a close study of price and volume and tried to ignore all rumors, tips or fundamental information. I decided not to concern myself with the reasons behind a rise. I figured that if some fundamental change for the better takes place in the life of a company, this soon shows up in the rising price and volume of its stock, because many people are anxious to buy it.
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Ford apparently became a buying favorite in the first three quarters of 1959, when its range was 57-93. In the Long review of portfolio changes between June 30 and September 30,1960, a period in which the Dow-Jones industrial average fell from 641 to 580, it was noted that "caution remained the watchword." Greatest activity was noted in the electrical utility group. Eight funds were buyers, whereas three funds apparently took profits. Large commitments were made in Central Hudson Gas and Electric and in Ohio Edison. Houston Lighting and Power, Consumers Power, and Public Service Electric and Gas were acquired by four managements.
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D., St. P. Sc Pac. 1st A 4's, 1994; Cleveland C.C.
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During this short period of their existence, they have experienced an outstanding growth record, comparable to any of the growth industries. That's why management company shares were priced at high earnings multiples 30 to 40 times 1959 earnings. A number of factors have brought about their subsequent decline in market evaluation, with most shares, as of March 1961 available at about 15 to 20 times estimated 1961 earnings. Among them are adverse effects from a falling stock market, low level of new mutual fund share sales, and growing criticism of their contractual relationship with mutual funds. However, the current market evaluation has overlooked the excellent growth potentials of the industry in favor of the troubles which may beset the group at some future time. The basic growth prospects of management companies is, of course, based on the continuously excellent growth potentials of the mutual fund industry which is expected to keep outgrowing its competitors for savings because of its basic advantages of diversification and professional management.
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